BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Texas St-San Marcos

Class: 1A Class Rank: 115 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength =  134.13

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Away    L   107.17  14  38   1A 125 (  2- 10) Nevada                -26.71      2.71                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W   145.29  41  12   1A 130 (  4-  8) Florida Int'l          11.42     17.58                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    L   129.87   7  42   1A  20 (  6-  6) Baylor                 -4.01    -30.99                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    W   131.12  34   0   ZZ   2 (  2-  9) Houston Christian      -2.76 *   36.76                      
  5 10/01/2022 Away    L * 129.74  13  40   1A  45 (  8-  3) James Madison          -4.14    -22.86                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    W * 157.24  36  24   1A  70 (  6-  6) Appalachian St         23.36    -11.36                      
  7 10/15/2022 Away    L * 149.53  14  17   1A  58 ( 11-  2) Troy                   15.66    -18.66                      
  8 10/22/2022 Home    L * 133.27  14  20   1A  94 (  6-  6) Southern Miss          -0.61     -5.39                      
  9 11/05/2022 Away    L * 134.70  30  31   1A 113 (  4-  8) Louisiana-Monroe        0.83     -1.83                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    L * 135.58  21  38   1A  61 ( 10-  2) South Alabama           1.70    -18.70                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    W * 136.81  16  13   1A 119 (  3-  9) Arkansas St             2.94      0.06                      
 12 11/26/2022 Home    L * 116.20  13  41   1A  75 (  6-  6) Louisiana-Lafayette   -17.67    -10.33                      
      Averages             133.88  21.1 26.3

Best game:  157.24 = 12 point win over Appalachian St
Worst game: 107.17 = 24 point loss to Nevada
Team stdev:  13.48